I’m not very alarmist by nature. Not at all. While I’m often outraged by the injustice I catch wind of daily, I’m actually optimistic that there’ll be ebb & flow. I really do think everything’s gonna be alright. Oh, people are gonna die, and it may be me and it may be you, and I’ll never be accepting of that, but I see glimmers of hope in many things. There are always going to be awful things happen that ought not happen, caused by the state or by individuals, and it’s tough to reconcile that with an optimistic outlook, other than to simply recognize that all I can really do about any of it is to speak out, which I do.
If you look at history, the human race always seems to come up with a way to get past its messes, with better conditions for more people going forward. And there have been some huge messes. I remain optimistic in very nearly all things.
Trading the markets very actively the last year and a half has been a really good lesson in group behavior. It’s remarkable how you find that just when everyone thinks something is fait accompli, just the opposite happens — good and hard.
I alluded to this a while back
in regard to the whacked out environmental "luddidiocy" you see
everywhere. What I’m seeing now in the environmental movement keeps reminds me of the anecdote of a great stock trader who
joked about how he knew it was time to sell: when he started getting
stock tips from his barber and grocer. Now; did this guy’s barber or
grocer know anything about stocks or the companies they were
touting? No; of course not. They were ignorant, just like everybody
in most things, but that rarely stops anyone from regurgitating what they’ve "learned" somewhere.
In my observation, people truly are not thinkers. People are doers; parrots, out to impress and be
popular, and the manner in which they accomplish that is to behave
largely as every else does, with just enough variation to stand out.
People love. They do wonderful things. I adore the hell out of many
of them. But, sadly, few seem to engage in what I would consider truly
independent and original thought. This
must explain why it’s so easy to promote falsehood and have it survive for
decades, even millennia. Everyone is simply following and mimicking
everyone else, and the true visionary geniuses only come along so often to change everything. And even then, it often takes centuries.
My primary objection to environmentalism has always been one of perspective. It’s just plain silly to really believe that the anthropogenic effect on the environment is all that important. Sure; there are local, contained damages that are perfectly valid, constitute real problems, and ought to be dealt with as such — preferably in a manner commensurate with protecting private property. But this global nonsense? Nonsense. Or, if it’s not complete nonsense, it’s at least close, and science and technology are going to deal with it like they deal with all real problems of such nature. And if not? We’re all dead anyway. What are you going to go? Spend your whole life worrying about your great great, great grandchildren, deluding yourself into believing that sacrifices you make today are in any way going to impinge upon their lives? Don’t be a nutbar.
What I suppose I really loath is the pessimism inherent in the environmental movement. I observe that it largely consists of a lot of hand-wringing, fear & loathing, and calls to curtail, limit, reduce, prohibit. I’m just not made that way. Me? Open up, expand, increase, laissez fair, indulge, go for it, more more more.
Well, perhaps the pendulum might begin swinging the other way on some of this nonsense. And that would be just about right. Just when everyone is convinced that the battle is over, boom.
Of course, it could go on for a long time. On the scale of human history, environmentalism is a mere dip in the chart. And certainly, the trend of the past few decades has not been good. But with more outspoken nay-sayers — former environmentalists among them — perhaps we’re in for at least a short-term correction, and medium and long-term corrections always begin in the short term, so I’ll be watching this closely.