Sweet

I could maybe get into this just for the pure joy in seeing this sort of thing. Here's the GoogleTalk page on YouTube which are videos of VIP visits to the Googleplex here in Silicon Valley. They are sorted by number of views. Note that Ron Paul's, up for only three days (closing on 50,000) is nearly double that of Der Rodham's, up for over four months (less than 30,000). The guy who, I think, coined the "Der Rodham" reference is also known for saying he loves it when a commie gets it in the teeth. Me too. I haven't watched Paul's talk, yet, but word is that the Googlers were spellbound the entire hour. (rockwell)


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Quotables

From time to time, everyone ought to stop and consider who's fool they've been lately. "Why, of course, the people don't want war ....Why would some poor slob on a farm want to risk his life in a war when the best that he can get out of it is to come back to his farm in one piece? Naturally, the common people don't want war; neither in Russia nor in England nor in America, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship." "There is one difference," I pointed out. "In a democracy the people have some say in the matter through their elected representatives, and in the United States only Congress can declare wars. "Oh, that is all well and good, but, voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the...


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The Immigration Scare

So I get this YouTuber via email. And man is it scary. My visceral reaction is that we'll need 'em to compete with a billion Chinese. But there's more. This is the sort of thing I deal with on a smaller scale and on a daily basis in the markets. It has several elements: 1. The notion that a graph of the past can predict the future. 2. That in accounting for time, technology, economics, geopolitics, and other things, that there aren't negative feedback mechanisms already in place and negative feedbacks as yet unidentified that will slow or halt the current rate of change (or turn it to the opposite direction). 3. Fails to account for both positive and negative aspects of the change and rate of change, instead focusing exclusively on one or the other. In the case of immigration, it's a quotidian event that potential costs are "analyzed," yet I rarely see anything that even acknowledges, much less tries to account for or compare the benefits. With relatively low wages (their raison d'être), it's difficult to argue it's not a net benefit in economic terms alone (as people accustomed to hiring and paying employees know). If you pay...


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How Can I Help It?

Making people feel uncomfortable This was sort of an interesting exchange the other night, out to dinner with some long-time acquaintances of my wife. I’d met them once some years ago at a party at our house in the ‘burbs, but I didn’t really recall. At any rate, nice people; engaging and on the ball….…...


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Not What I Thought Of

John Venlet, cultured and well read as he is, thought of John Dewey and a particular passage from a 1934 book, A Common Faith, which I've never read, but appears as a call for a sort of ecumenical spiritualism replacing the existing murderous dogma that dominates religion even today. THE Vatican has described the Protestant and Orthodox faiths as "not proper churches" in a document issued with the full authority of the Pope. ... It was "difficult to see how the title of 'Church' could possibly be attributed to them", said the statement from the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith. Roman Catholicism was "the one true Church of Christ". Being neither as cultured, nor well read as John, I think I thought of the story where you can clean up a pig and put perfume and ribbons on him, but he's still a pig -- which you'll soon discover the moment he gets near a mud puddle. I think there's one about whores and whorehouses too, but details escape me. It really is a laugh: supposedly smart people; who take children's fairy tales and imaginary friends so seriously. What stupids, from top to bottom: "my imaginary friend is...


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How Important? You decide.

This won't get any play -- or will be downplayed -- in "conservative" blogs or outlets. As a former military officer, I think it's an astounding number. 50% of political donations from military personnel went to the always-anti-war Ron Paul. We used to have a saying I never doubted the truth of: a bitchy sailor's a happy sailor. You have to understand the ethic involved. Going to sea for weeks and months on end; manning a three-section watch rotation; exercises and details like underway replenishment at all hours of the night and day -- even if you just got off watch; and a host of other things is just plain a tough way to make a living. And that doesn't even consider the aspect of getting shot at; or in our case, the subject of a torpedo, missile, or bomb attack. I imagine it's perhaps a bit easier going in the Air Force and a bit more miserable in the Army and Marines. And soldiers and sailors eat it up, and they eat it up every second of the time they're bellyaching about it. It's how it goes. When they're not bitchin', then they've lost the morale or the pride...


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M.Y.O.B.

Some days I stop to think and make it all seem simple It is, you know. To large extent, you can boil down all the politics, the police state, international and geopolitical entanglements of all sorts, and even much of the truly awful evil perpetuated by some people on others and come down to one thing: people just don't know what it means to mind their own business, anymore. Are mothers not teaching it -- "oh, don't be a tattletale; you get back there and just mind your own business" -- anymore? Or have we all just forgotten that appropriately scornful tone of voice delivered best by moms -- to their sons -- that says, ultimately: that's no way to be a man. Or is it the focus, nowadays, to engage every notion contrary to raising real men and women who tend to their own affairs until invited (and accepted) to involve themselves in the affairs of others? I'm trying to figure out where this comes from. I'd love to say: from religion. After all, God's the biggest busybody of all, right? I mean, one of his most celebrated attributes -- omniscience -- sees all and knows all, right? What...


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Fooled by Randomness

What would you say if, over the space of 1000 trading days (about 4 years), someone took their brokerage account from $100,000 to $368,756, while over the same space of time, the market drifted slightly up on average (as it's generally accustomed to doing)? Trading genius, right? Are you sure? Certainly a 370% gain over four years -- in thousands of transactions over 1000 days -- has to be due to skill, right? The more trades and the longer the time, it "stands to reason" that returns are going to approximate the mean and reside within a standard deviation -- unless attributable to deliberate and sound conscious intervention, right? Maybe not so fast. This mean and standard deviation were used to produce random series of daily changes (normally distributed), for 1000 days for each of 100 hypothetical traders (HTs). HTs don't have any skill predicting the market; they trade hypotheses in chat-rooms but buy and sell index futures at random... Of the 100 HTs trading just 1 emini at a time, the average final balance was $98,965; loss of about 1%. None went below $10,000 equity ("bust"); the lowest point for the worst trader was $41,500. The winner finished with...


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Evolutionary Diet Update

Art De Vany has up a summary and assessment of a soon-to-be released study on the [natural] benefits of an Evolutionary or Paleolithic Diet, primarily comparing it with the highly regarded Mediterranean Diet. The former substantially outperformed the latter in the study. More information at the website of Staffan Lindeberg; specifically, here and here. Our primate ancestors have been consuming fruit, vegetables, nuts and insects for 50 million years or more. Meat was successively added, with a probable increase around 2 million years ago. Underground storage organs (roots, tubers, bulbs, corms) possibly become staple foods 1-2 million years ago. The variability was large: single plant foods were rarely available in excess, which reduced the risk of adverse reactions to bioactive substances in plant foods. It only makes sense. An Evolutionary Diet, simply speaking, is eating those sorts of things primarily available to our primate and hominid ancestors -- in as wide a variety as possible -- during their millions of years evolving the modern digestive tract and metabolism. We haven't changed much in that regard in about 200,000 years. And the agricultural revolution, only about 10,000 years old by comparison, is a wondrous man-made technological advance that made possible billions...


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Belated Food Blogging

I just didn't have time to get this out over the weekend, or didn't feel like it, or for whatever reason it was. For me, the simplest meals are always the best. For one, they're easy to prepare and that's nice. And if it's something like a great steak off the grill, dry-rubbed ribs like you've never tasted, or some form of seafood I find that overdoing the meal in terms of numbers of dishes, fancy preparations or sauces, etc., can be plain detrimental to enjoyment. Well, what we have here is the king of crabs: dungeness; not king crab. My opinion, anyway. I like king for the hefty meat quantity (two legs will do for a meal), and snow crab is nice and sweet. But for a combination of delicate meat and good quantity (snow crab is lots of work for little meat), dungeness is the way to go. I got these live at the wonderful, wonderful 99 Ranch Market. $3.69 per pound, live in tanks (they have about a dozen kinds of fish you can get live...like sea bass and such). $12 for two whole crabs. Easy to cook. Boiling water, salted as you would for pasta, 20...


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iPhone: Will it Blend?

Well if you're not aware of the series, you've probably been living in a cave, somewhere. iPhone, shmyPhone; Will it Blend?


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Worth a Look and a Thought

There are a couple of interviews of 2008 presidential candidate Ron Paul worth a look. The first is his sit down Sunday with George Stephanopolous on ABC, and the second, a phone interview with Joe Scarborough on MSNBC. I'm not going to get into Stephanopolous' uncivil treatment of a competitor who, in terms of percentage gain over time, is outperforming everyone (why else is he even on?). Paul's a big boy, and treatment like that from a smug, fast-lane has-been, speaks for itself. I think Paul is beginning to scare a few people and it shows; and that's because there's an increasing sense that he could become a Black Swan in American politics, much like Perot almost became in 1992 (and probably would have, if he hadn't been such a complete dork). Indeed, that's really his only hope -- he'll never get Blue Blood Republican support unless and until a swell of popular support compels it, politically. The other scary thing about Paul is that he's so transparent. He's completely and unabashedly "on the record" and his political positions have been consistent on his stated principles for as long as anyone cares to check the record. And he even puts...


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A Skeptical Layman’s Guide to Anthropogenic Global Warming

Warren Meyer has done an amazing service in compiling a wealth of data and information that calls into serious question the notion that observed global warming is caused by man-made activities. You can get your free PDF or HTML copies here or here (or order hard copies at printing and shipping cost).


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Me: Happy

Bea snaps a pic just minutes ago, as I enjoy an afternoon adult beverage out on the deck that surrounds the cabin. Two hours, and we're headed out to see Earth, Wind & Fire at Ironstone Vineyards, just 12 miles and 15 minutes away. More on that later.


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San Jose City Councilman Sam Liccardo Responds

To this. Richard, thanks for your thoughts. I scanned your blog very briefly. If you're concerned about the accuracy of the statistics I've cited (and you’re interested in learning more about the harms of fireworks in dense, urban communities like ours), I encourage you to consult a page on the website for the Center for Disease Control, which recites the death statistic for 2005. The 2004 data comes from the federal Consumer Product Safety Commission, as related on the San Jose Fire Department's "weblog" last year. As for your concerns about "individual liberty," as a member of the ACLU, I suspect you're only doing half the thinking. Our neighbors also have a right to be free from nuisance and noise at 2 a.m. that prevents them from getting a decent sleep. I've been responding to emails all week from residents who are tired of being awoken on June 30th, July 2nd, July 5th, etc. because of fireworks explosions at all hours throughout the week. An example of such an email is below, along with a copy of the July 4th SJ Fire Dept log -- as you can see, five of the reported fires (and there were several more with...


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Tolerance and Moral Relativism

Judea Pearl, father of journalist Daniel Pearl, pens a very good piece (free registration required) in The New Republic on the occasion of the release of A Mighty Heart, a film about Daniel's life. Bruce at Q&O has excerpted the principal meat of the article but I think the whole thing is worth taking a look at.


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Holiday Food Blogging

What could be better than some fried chicken, potato salad, broccoli, and watermelon on a balmy Fourth of July Eve? The fried chicken is a boneless, skinless breast, but otherwise cooked in a traditional Southern manner, with a little advice from mom. It's tossed in a plastic bag with flour and lots of each of: garlic power, Lawry's, paprika, lemon pepper, and black pepper. There was one other ingredient, too. Taking her advice to heart, I dumped in quite a lot of "paprika," until I finished, looked at the jar, and realized it was cayenne pepper. I was able to get most of it out, but left plenty in. And you know what? The added bite was perfect. This is why I almost never follow a recipe exactly and why I almost always prepare things a bit differently every time. It's fried in peanut oil on high - medium high, about 1/3" to 1/2" deep. Let it stay until well golden, turn it, wait patiently, then turn it for about a minute to the original side. Yum. There's just no use making potato salad from scratch unless it's a large batch for a picnic or BBQ or something. It's from...


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Calling Your Attention, Please

I've changed the "About" blurb at the far right to something more in line with the way I've been blogging and the way I want to keep blogging. While I want to maintain some of the edge, cultural criticism, and downright cynicism and foul language, I don't want it all to be about that. Besides, what better way to highlight the bad than to demonstrate regularly that the good is so possible and so abundant when you just damn the torpedoes and pursue it anyway, in spite of the bad. Dedicated to the radical advocacy of man’s life, as it ought to be: real freedom and liberty for all who respect it; i.e., freedom to pursue one’s own values; freedom to own and direct property and capital; freedom to produce, trade and celebrate the values necessary to individual body, mind and soul; to individual happiness. A critical examination of the philosophy, politics, religion, culture and everything else that parasitically -- collectively and socially -- stands in the way of individual prosperity and happiness for all who undertake to achieve it. More importantly: to highlight the man-made in terms of ideas and things that enable us to out-run those who would...


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San Jose Councilman Sam Liccardo to the Rescue

As if the stories of actual fireworks mishaps and the wealth of "fingers blown off" folklore isn't enough What would you do without them? Awareness Raisers. Get Tough Guys. Safety Nannies. Law Enforcers. All of them: a real collection of busybodies, and worse. Unfortunately, San Jose, California isn't immune. We too have our busybody pettifoggers; like Councilman Sam Licardo, who somehow finds time in his busy schedule and room in his heart to help us poor and clueless souls through the long and dangerous night of Independence Day (yea; ironic, eh?). Oh, Dear God; save us, Sam; ...and our children. Don't forget the children! So I'm talking about this little press release and the email announcing it from his assistant -- who surely felt it very important to make sure it was perfectly understood that ALL FIREWORKS ARE ILLEGAL, "including 'safe and sane' fireworks (like sparklers)..." Yea, we wouldn't want people to tend to their own "safe and sane" affairs now, would we? That press release provides me with a sufficient dose of overreaching paternalism to do me for about a whole year. Run for your life. He's got firecrackers. You can't even make this stuff up. How do you...


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The Popularity of Freedom

The problem with Freedom is that too many don't really know what it means, and I think that's the essence of all political problems in America right now. Far and away too many people believe that freedom means a guaranteed job, food, clothing, and health care; it means "freedom" from being offended, insulted, marginalized or ever made to feel uncomfortable. "Freedom" means the luxury to disregard -- indeed to flat out deny -- one's shortcomings. So I don't know that Ron Paul's claim that "Freedom is Popular" is altogether true if we're talking about real freedom. Nonetheless, it's a good message and I really like how he's been getting to the essence of the message; which is, that good people don't force their will upon other people. Of course, talking "freedom" where the presumption is that people ought to be free to be as stupid or as quirky or eccentric or perverted as they want to be in one thing. The freedom to produce and to receive all of what one has bargained for and owing no one anything for that right (it's not a privilege) is quite another. The "Philosophy of Liberty" link over to your far right lays...


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